Top 5 hardest published pulls
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.
Official odds captured Nov 6, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet
Search all 126 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.
All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.
| Card set / parallel | Hardest published odds |
|---|---|
|
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II SuperFractor
Auto
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 794,400 packsHobby |
|
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II Red Flare Refractor
Auto
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 158,880 packsHobby |
|
Space Walk SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 105,920 packsHobby |
|
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II Black Eclipse Refractor
Auto
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 79,440 packsHobby |
|
Extraterrestrial Talent SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 66,200 packsHobby |
|
Propulsion SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 66,200 packsHobby |
|
First Flight Signatures SuperFractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 54,787 packsHobby |
|
First Light Pink Refractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 54,787 packsHobby |
|
Geocentric Pink Refractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 54,787 packsHobby |
|
Electro-Static Signatures SuperFractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 52,960 packsHobby |
|
Alien Autographs SuperFractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 51,252 packsHobby |
|
Galaxy Greats SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 46,730 packsHobby |
|
Re-Entry Pink Refractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 40,739 packsHobby |
|
Singularity Signatures SuperFractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 34,540 packsHobby |
|
Starfractor Pink Refractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 33,100 packsHobby |
Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.
Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.
Stated guarantee: None stated
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Shop Hobby on eBayCounts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.
| Format | Boxes per case | Card sets | Autos / Relics / SSPs | Easiest auto |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | Not confirmed | 126 of 126 | 35 / 0 / 12 | 1 in 331 packs |