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Basketball
Product Odds Guide

2025–26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball

Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.

Official odds captured Nov 6, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet

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Find pack odds

Search all 126 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.

All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.

Card set / parallelHardest published odds
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II SuperFractor
Auto Numbering unverified
1 in 794,400 packsHobby
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II Red Flare Refractor
Auto Numbering unverified
1 in 158,880 packsHobby
Space Walk SuperFractor /1
Numbered
1 in 105,920 packsHobby
Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II Black Eclipse Refractor
Auto Numbering unverified
1 in 79,440 packsHobby
Extraterrestrial Talent SuperFractor /1
Numbered
1 in 66,200 packsHobby
Propulsion SuperFractor /1
Numbered
1 in 66,200 packsHobby
First Flight Signatures SuperFractor /1
Auto Numbered
1 in 54,787 packsHobby
First Light Pink Refractor /1
Numbered
1 in 54,787 packsHobby
Geocentric Pink Refractor /1
Numbered
1 in 54,787 packsHobby
Electro-Static Signatures SuperFractor /1
Auto Numbered
1 in 52,960 packsHobby
Alien Autographs SuperFractor /1
Auto Numbered
1 in 51,252 packsHobby
Galaxy Greats SuperFractor /1
Numbered
1 in 46,730 packsHobby
Re-Entry Pink Refractor /1
Numbered
1 in 40,739 packsHobby
Singularity Signatures SuperFractor /1
Auto Numbered
1 in 34,540 packsHobby
Starfractor Pink Refractor /1
Numbered
1 in 33,100 packsHobby

Showing 15 of 126 card sets.

Start with the rarest pulls

What’s hardest to pull?

Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.

Top 5 hardest published pulls

All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.

  1. Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II SuperFractor 1 in 794,400 packs Hobby · Autograph
  2. Cosmic Chrome Autograph Variation II Red Flare Refractor 1 in 158,880 packs Hobby · Autograph
  3. Space Walk SuperFractor /1 1 in 105,920 packs Hobby · Numbered
  4. Extraterrestrial Talent SuperFractor /1 1 in 66,200 packs Hobby · Numbered
Explore all published odds →
Choose a box

Box format summary

Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.

Hobby

Packs per box
20
Cards per pack
4
Cards per box
80

Stated guarantee: None stated

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More box details and checklist coverage

Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.

FormatBoxes per caseCard setsAutos / Relics / SSPsEasiest auto
HobbyNot confirmed126 of 12635 / 0 / 121 in 331 packs
How to read these odds

SSP labels group rare inserts curated by Savvy. See sources and classification for checklist grouping, parallel availability, source corrections, and format differences.