Top 5 hardest published pulls
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.
Official odds captured Nov 6, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet
Search all 457 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.
All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.
| Card set / parallel | Hardest published odds |
|---|---|
|
Franchise Fabrics Foilfractor
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 8,527,648 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Woven Relics Foilfractor
Relic
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 8,527,648 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Rookie Photo Shoot Dual Autograph Platinum
Auto
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 8,502,044 packsBlack Friday Vb |
|
Signed Foilfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 8,132,512 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Rookie Pathway Signatures Foilfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 7,725,887 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Own The Game Foilfractor
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 6,822,118 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Generation Now Foilfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 6,448,970 packsHobby |
|
Poster Factory Foilfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 6,448,970 packsHobby |
|
Flagship Real One Rookie Relic Foilfractor
Relic
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 4,737,582 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Class Of 26 Foilfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 4,723,077 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Impact Relics Foilfractor
Relic
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 4,263,824 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Rise To The Occasion Relics Foilfractor
Relic
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 4,263,824 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Rookie Roundball Remnants Foilfractor
Numbering unverified
|
1 in 4,263,824 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
1981 82 Topps Basketball Rookie Autographs Foilfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 4,176,155 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
|
Level Up Signatures Foilfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 3,961,993 packsChina Ex Wave 1 |
Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.
Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.
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| Format | Box structure | Stated guarantee | Find a box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 20 packs × 12 cards240 cards per box | 1 autograph or relic per box | Shop Hobby on eBay |
| Hobby Jumbo | 10 packs × 28 cards280 cards per box | 1 autograph and 1 relic per box | Shop Hobby Jumbo on eBay |
| Retail Mega Box | 12 packs × 15 cards180 cards per box | None stated | Shop Retail Mega Box on eBay |
| Retail Value Box | 6 packs × 12 cards72 cards per box | None stated | Shop Retail Value Box on eBay |
| All Star Game | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop All Star Game on eBay |
| Black Friday Vb | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Black Friday Vb on eBay |
| China Ex Wave 1 | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop China Ex Wave 1 on eBay |
| China Ex Wave 2 | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop China Ex Wave 2 on eBay |
| Costco Flagship Col | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Costco Flagship Col on eBay |
| Promo Silver Packs | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Promo Silver Packs on eBay |
| Retail Fanatics Vb | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Retail Fanatics Vb on eBay |
| Retail Fat Pack | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Retail Fat Pack on eBay |
| Retail Hanger Pack | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Retail Hanger Pack on eBay |
| Sams Club Box | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Sams Club Box on eBay |
Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.
| Format | Boxes per case | Card sets | Autos / Relics / SSPs | Easiest auto |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | Not confirmed | 276 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 304 packs |
| Hobby Jumbo | Not confirmed | 277 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 1 | 1 in 74 packs |
| Retail Mega Box | Not confirmed | 235 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 913 packs |
| Retail Value Box | Not confirmed | 243 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 913 packs |
| All Star Game | Not confirmed | 240 of 457 | 74 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 913 packs |
| Black Friday Vb | Not confirmed | 253 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 1,521 packs |
| China Ex Wave 1 | Not confirmed | 201 of 457 | 78 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 3,072 packs |
| China Ex Wave 2 | Not confirmed | 203 of 457 | 79 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 3,072 packs |
| Costco Flagship Col | Not confirmed | 43 of 457 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 1 in 595 packs |
| Promo Silver Packs | Not confirmed | 21 of 457 | 12 / 0 / 0 | 1 in 38 packs |
| Retail Fanatics Vb | Not confirmed | 236 of 457 | 74 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 1,065 packs |
| Retail Fat Pack | Not confirmed | 235 of 457 | 75 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 380 packs |
| Retail Hanger Pack | Not confirmed | 241 of 457 | 74 / 36 / 4 | 1 in 761 packs |
| Sams Club Box | Not confirmed | 43 of 457 | 2 / 0 / 0 | 1 in 595 packs |